PSV vs Feyenoord prediction

PSV have lost 3 of their last 5, while Feyenoord have won 4 of their last 5. PSV average 2.9 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Feyenoord average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, PSV won 3-0 against Feyenoord. Our model expects PSV to score about 1.9 and Feyenoord about 1.7. PSV should avoid losing by two goals or more.