Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction

Fortuna Sittard have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Excelsior have not won in their last 5. Fortuna Sittard average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Excelsior average 1.9 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Fortuna Sittard won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Excelsior, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Fortuna Sittard to score about 1.7 and Excelsior about 1.6. Fortuna Sittard should avoid losing by two goals or more.