NEC vs Groningen prediction

NEC have not won in their last 5, while Groningen have taken 8 points from their last 5. NEC average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Groningen average 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, NEC lost 1-2 against Groningen. Our model expects NEC to score about 1.6 and Groningen about 1.8. Groningen should find the net, with about 1.8 goals expected from them.