Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction

Atalanta have lost 3 of their last 5, while Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5. Atalanta average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Frosinone average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Atalanta to score about 1.7 and Frosinone about 1.2. Frosinone should avoid losing by two goals or more.