Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction

Inter Milan have won 3 of their last 5, while Fiorentina have taken 7 points from their last 5. Inter Milan average 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Fiorentina average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Inter Milan drew 1-1 against Fiorentina. Our model expects Inter Milan to score about 2.3 and Fiorentina about 1.1. We expect only around 3.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.