Lecce vs Juventus prediction

Lecce have lost 3 of their last 5, while Juventus have won 3 of their last 5. Lecce average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Juventus average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Lecce won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Juventus, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Lecce to score about 1.1 and Juventus about 1.3. Lecce should avoid losing by two goals or more.