Udinese vs AC Milan prediction

Udinese have not won in their last 5, while AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5. Udinese average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while AC Milan average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Udinese won 3-0 against AC Milan. Our model expects Udinese to score about 1.3 and AC Milan about 1.7. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.