Genoa vs Venezia prediction

Genoa have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Venezia have lost 4 of their last 5. Genoa average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Venezia average 1.6 scored and 2.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Genoa to score about 1.5 and Venezia about 1.2. Genoa should avoid losing by two goals or more.